Posts by withanohiobias

Week 12 CFB & Week 11 NFL Gambling Picks, Trends and Info

 

Week 12 CFB & Week 11 NFL
Gambling Picks, Trends and Info
By Jake Sofranko of WithAnOhioBias and Mike Young, Sports Wagering and Integrity Analyst for CG Technology
 
Okay Buckeye Nation, we are spinning are wheels in the rankings. Still there is reason for hope but we’re going to need to get a little help. Not a lot of help but a little help and it starts today. Syracuse upsetting the Irish would go a long way. The Pokes came close to legitimit “Bedlam” last week vs Oklahoma. Can they eliminate DubV this week? Clemson takes on a capable Duke squad. Wazzu is on the road taking on Arizona who have knocked off Oregon and the Buffs the last 2 Saturday’s at home. It won’t matter though if tOSU doesn’t handle their business by cooking up some turtle soup. 
 
Meanwhile in the land of Roger Ball, Who Dey is somehow still in playoff contention. They take on the Crows in Baltimore in a must win divisional game. The Browns get the week off before Baker and boys head to Cinncy for a meeting with the Bengals and new assistant coach Hue Jackson who will no doubt be spending the entire week “watching the tape”. Anyway, here are your notes and picks by Mike. 
Good Luck if you’re tailing! 
 
● CFB
○ Ohio State -Maryland
■ Line move from OSU -17 at open to OSU -14 (-115) currently
■ A lot of early Terps $ but now 53% of $ on OSU
○ Clemson-Duke
■ When Lawrence is starter (not including Syracuse game he got hurt)
● 5-0 ATS
■ When Lawrence is not starter / hurt halfway thru
● 0-4 ATS
■ 56% of spread $ on Clemson
■ Line has moved a half point towards Tigers since open
○ Syracuse-Notre Dame
■ 72% of $ on Syracuse
■ Market move: half point towards Notre Dame
○ Iowa State-Texas
■ ISU: 9-1-1 ATS last 11 road games
■ 66% of $ on Cyclones
Mikes Picks:
MTSU +16
UVA +6.5
TTU -6
● NFL
○ CIN-BAL
■ Still no lines offered in Vegas (and haven’t seen any reliable offshore books post lines for this either)
■ Status of BAL starting QB + AJ Green injury causing books to withhold lines
○ HOU-WAS
■ 2nd biggest handle of any Sunday game at CG so far
● Arizona-Oakland drawing more $ (Raider fans out here smh)
■ HOU -3 (-105) at the moment, half point move towards HOU since open
■ 82% of spread $ on Texans
○ DAL-ATL
■ “Last week syndrome”  sense a lot of recency bias here
■ 92% of $ at CG on Cowboys
○ MIN-CHI
■ Line holding fairly steady (Chicago -3 to Chicago -3ev)
■ 68% on Bears
○ KC-LA
■ Highest total in NFL history, up to 63.5 at CG
■ Line moved to 4 briefly when news broke that game would move to LA
● Since then dropped back to Rams -3.5, which is what it was at beginning of week when we thought it would be in Mexico
■ 51% of $ on LAR
Mikes ML Picks:
Dallas +150
Oakland +160
Jacksonville +205
See ya at the window!

Everything Degenerate Nation 11-09-18

By Jake Sofranko of WAOB and Mike Young Sports Wagering and Integrity Analyst for CG Technology.

Well, Degenerate Nation here we are in the home stretch of football season and the start of the college basketball season and traditions are what come to mind. Traditions like Thanksgiving NFL, The Maui Classic, Ohio State v Michigan, Alabama v The Citadel…I guess some traditions are better than others. Anyhow, it is definitely a great time to be a sports bettor. Here are some notes, trends, info and picks for your wagering weekend and beyond.
-David Payne Purdum reported that more $ was bet—and lost— at Nevada sportsbooks in September than any other month since the State began tracking sports betting revenue in 1984. Still dwarfs the penny slots revenue.
-It was a rough Sunday last week for the books as SportsInsights reported that NFL teams getting the majority of spread bets went 11-0 ATS. The public definitely got the best of Rogerball for once.
-A prominent Vegas book opened “The Game” with Michigan as a 3.5 point favorite over tOSU at the Horseshoe in 2 weeks.
-NCAA Hoops News
  • Most bet teams to win the national title
    • 1. Kentucky, 2. Duke, 3. Kansas, 4. UNC, 5. Syracuse
      • Villanova not even among the top 10
  • Duke odds since destroying Kentucky
    • Duke +450 prior to UK game, +240 next morning
    • CG Technology took about 20 Duke bets between the end of the game and the following morning

-CFB

  • OSU-MSU
    • Mid four-figure bet at CG on MSU +4
    • Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in the six games since Urban Meyer returned to the sidelines (five straight ATS losses).
  • Clemson-BC
    • Mid four-figure bet at CG on the under (58)
    • Boston College is 11-0-1 ATS in its past 12 games in ACC play.
  • Auburn-Georgia
    • 60% of $ on the Dawgs
  • Mississippi St – Bama
    • Four-figure bet at CG on Bama on the moneyline -3000
  • Wisconsin-Penn St
    • Mid four-figure bet at CG on Wisconsin +9
    • The over is 5-0 in the past five meetings between these teams.

NFL

  • ATL-CLE
    • Five-figure bet at CG on Falcons -4.5 (largest single bet on Sunday’s action)
    • A separate high four-figure bet at CG on ATL -4
  • NO-CIN
    • Saints have won 7 straight games straight up, six in a row against the spread
  • BUF-NYJ
    • Lowest total of the season 36.5
    • Two separate mid four-figure bets at CG on Buffalo +7.5
  • SEA-LAR
    • Seattle is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit underdog.
  • DAL-PHI
    • 80% of $ on Philly
Mike Young’s Picks
  • CFB
    • Ole Miss +13, Illini +17.5, Tulsa +15.5 (or whatever it’s at now), Miami +4
  • NFL
    • Cowboys +240, Miami +9.5, Washington +3

We’ll be back next week with the podcast but until then good luck and we’ll see ya at the window!

Timing Is Everything

WithAnOhioBias A Podcast For Real Fans With D and Jake

Show 225 Timing Is Everything

Clearly The Browns and Cavs Yet Again Choose Poor Timing To Dismiss Head Coaches. How Can Ohio State Football Rebound After The Purdue Loss? CBJ, Crew SC, Indians Offseason, Ohio State Basketball, and More Discussed.

Marcus Morrison Talks Inner City Baseball Academy

WithAnOhioBias A Podcast For Real Fans With D and Jake

Show 223

We Talk With Marcus Morrison Of The Inner City Baseball Academy Of Greater Cleveland About Impacting Lives While Teaching Baseball.

Click Here Get More Information On The Academy 

Come and support Inner City Baseball Academy of Greater Cleveland on Saturday August 25th at 6363 Selig Dr. Independence oh 44131 from 9am -1pm.

Kichler Lighting employees will be playing softball games, 50/50 raffles, and much more… Family fun and food for a great cause!! See you there!!

All proceeds will go to Inner City Baseball Academy of Greater Cleveland!!

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